# Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 22?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 2% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 22 May 2026 19:38:56 GMT. 24h change -1.8pp, 24h volume $1.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-72000-74000-on-may-22-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-72000-74000-on-may-22-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-22T19:38:56.870Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **2¢** (2%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.3pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.8pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $1.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $1.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $8.9K |
| Spread | 1.60pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc0a6…2d6c` — 208,000 shares
- `0xe23f…4bed` — 5,000 shares
- `0x3360…955b` — 4,999.936 shares
- `0xbf77…202b` — 3,760.388 shares
- `0x35a1…0951` — 3,100 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xff7b…9179` — 204,999.56 shares
- `0xa5ef…2966` — 10,011.177 shares
- `0x7d9b…a8e0` — 3,100 shares
- `0x2c5b…1ab3` — 2,300 shares
- `0x8eeb…a4d1` — 510.022 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 134 |
| Window start | 2026-05-15T18:00:10.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T06:16:04.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 15¢ |
| Net change | -4.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-72000-74000-on-may-22-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 22? — 2% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-22T19:38:56.870Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-72000-74000-on-may-22-2026.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*