# Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 11?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 11 May 2026 14:32:06 GMT. 24h change -0.2pp, 24h volume $208.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-74000-76000-on-may-11
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-74000-76000-on-may-11
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-11T14:32:06.371Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.2pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $208.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $208.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $63.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc0a6…2d6c` — 201,000 shares
- `0x250c…2774` — 1,999.965 shares
- `0x3c80…249a` — 1,659.59 shares
- `0x8aa2…1a56` — 1,134 shares
- `0x5658…14fd` — 1,092 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xff7b…9179` — 201,025.65 shares
- `0xa5ef…2966` — 8,805.103 shares
- `0x5d5f…55a8` — 3,006.108 shares
- `0x540a…ce41` — 773.25 shares
- `0x8eeb…a4d1` — 200 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 166 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T18:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-11T14:32:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 26¢ |
| Net change | -25.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-74000-76000-on-may-11` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 11? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-11T14:32:06.371Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-74000-76000-on-may-11.
```

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