# Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 18:10:05 GMT. 24h change -0.6pp, 24h volume $272.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-76000-78000-on-may-10
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-76000-78000-on-may-10
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T18:10:05.190Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.6pp |
| Δ 1w | -18.9pp |
| 24h volume | $272.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $303.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $104.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc0a6…2d6c` — 192,500 shares
- `0x3795…ed05` — 8,028.098 shares
- `0x250c…2774` — 6,299.992 shares
- `0xc8bc…c433` — 2,104.996 shares
- `0x7a2b…7e4e` — 2,085.17 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xff7b…9179` — 200,016.61 shares
- `0x6e1d…d0fa` — 8,374.221 shares
- `0xa5ef…2966` — 7,697.621 shares
- `0xf4b0…49a4` — 2,086.096 shares
- `0x433a…4cce` — 2,085.17 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T19:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T18:09:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 22¢ |
| Net change | -18.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-76000-78000-on-may-10` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T18:10:05.190Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-76000-78000-on-may-10.
```

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