# Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 41% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 16:49:16 GMT. 24h change -2.5pp, 24h volume $601.73.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-76000-78000-on-may-28-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-76000-78000-on-may-28-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T16:49:16.027Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **41¢** (41%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $601.73 |
| Lifetime volume | $2.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $20.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc0a6…2d6c` — 232,900 shares
- `0x27ab…e521` — 5,178.99 shares
- `0x8970…36b5` — 2,971.493 shares
- `0x3c80…249a` — 2,210.1 shares
- `0x9870…7d2a` — 1,853.422 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xff7b…9179` — 207,290.89 shares
- `0xb7cd…6827` — 20,000 shares
- `0xa5ef…2966` — 9,790.558 shares
- `0xd7ef…c5f4` — 4,502.56 shares
- `0x2322…3ede` — 3,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-21T17:00:15.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-28T16:47:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 44¢ |
| Net change | -23.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-76000-78000-on-may-28-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28? — 41% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T16:49:16.027Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-76000-78000-on-may-28-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*