# Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 10:51:30 GMT. 24h change -0.4pp, 24h volume $119.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-82000-84000-on-may-3
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-82000-84000-on-may-3
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T10:51:30.920Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $119.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $120.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $17.0K |
| Spread | 0.50pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
> 
> If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
> 
> Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 5h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3c80…249a` — 2,508.34 shares
- `0x5c3c…ea50` — 2,244.931 shares
- `0xae7d…a17b` — 2,100.996 shares
- `0x65a0…dc58` — 2,095.19 shares
- `0x76de…50c4` — 2,090.18 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 4,971.62 shares
- `0x5aa2…d7d0` — 3,513.62 shares
- `0x29bc…5ae1` — 2,095.19 shares
- `0x744d…f0d6` — 2,090.18 shares
- `0xcbcc…c84b` — 2,089.178 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 162 |
| Window start | 2026-04-26T17:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T10:50:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -24.8pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-82000-84000-on-may-3` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3? — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T10:51:30.920Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-82000-84000-on-may-3.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*