# Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 23% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 29 May 2026 22:15:08 GMT. 24h change -18.6pp, 24h volume $134.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-san-antonio-spurs-win-the-nba-western-conference-finals
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-san-antonio-spurs-win-the-nba-western-conference-finals
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 16, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-29T22:15:08.815Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **23¢** (23%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.3pp |
| Δ 24h | -18.6pp |
| Δ 1w | -25.6pp |
| 24h volume | $134.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $2.2M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $141.3K |
| Spread | 0.60pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 16, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to “Yes” if the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025–26 NBA Western Conference Finals based on the rules of the NBA.
> 
> If the 2025-26 NBA Western Conference Finals winner is not announced by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 10%): Open resolution ambiguity — verify the source.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3496…8fc4` — 160,695.105 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 99,999.994 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 97,584.12 shares
- `0xde04…fa37` — 25,169.972 shares
- `0x0e1d…0c53` — 21,315.624 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 419,249.788 shares
- `0x1496…a429` — 68,819.783 shares
- `0x1e77…8c33` — 46,263.2 shares
- `0x441d…544d` — 35,000 shares
- `0x13da…3302` — 30,641.62 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T23:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-29T22:14:04.000Z |
| Range | 21¢ → 54¢ |
| Net change | +1.7pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-san-antonio-spurs-win-the-nba-western-conference-finals` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? — 23% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-29T22:15:08.815Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-san-antonio-spurs-win-the-nba-western-conference-finals.
```

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