# Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 06:49:15 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $168.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-san-francisco-giants-win-the-2026-world-series
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-san-francisco-giants-win-the-2026-world-series
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Oct 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T06:49:15.089Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.1pp |
| 24h volume | $168.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $397.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $55.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Oct 31, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. 
> 
> If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
> 
> If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9703…69c2` — 15,917.87 shares
- `0x5d18…4972` — 11,683.119 shares
- `0xd187…399c` — 10,779.291 shares
- `0x4dba…e698` — 6,667.597 shares
- `0x8deb…1ef3` — 4,999.945 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 95,015.301 shares
- `0xf653…acb1` — 166.834 shares
- `0xecff…1ee6` — 70.543 shares
- `0x458c…c504` — 50 shares
- `0x06bd…c369` — 40 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-06T07:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T06:48:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 1¢ |
| Net change | +0.1pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-san-francisco-giants-win-the-2026-world-series` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T06:49:15.089Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-san-francisco-giants-win-the-2026-world-series.
```

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