# Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 5% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 03:26:12 GMT. 24h change -3.0pp, 24h volume $189.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-june-30-333
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-june-30-333
**Category:** Science
**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T03:26:12.131Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **5¢** (5%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -3.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $189.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $649.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $57.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa176…a62c` — 60,040.747 shares
- `0xe742…adb0` — 41,391.831 shares
- `0x0f92…a3c3` — 19,999.955 shares
- `0xfd72…f902` — 19,349.292 shares
- `0x92c1…3193` — 18,511.758 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa2cd…2ba0` — 66,910.35 shares
- `0xfaf9…f4c4` — 49,999.683 shares
- `0x05e2…ea88` — 44,163.025 shares
- `0x52e3…82d2` — 33,272.873 shares
- `0x3eae…e2ed` — 20,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T04:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T03:24:04.000Z |
| Range | 5¢ → 9¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-june-30-333` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? — 5% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T03:26:12.131Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-june-30-333.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*