# Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 19:54:11 GMT. 24h change +0.1pp, 24h volume $232.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-in-turkey-182-161-789
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-in-turkey-182-161-789
**Category:** Geopolitics
**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T19:54:11.806Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | -1.2pp |
| 24h volume | $232.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $629.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $15.0K |
| Spread | 0.30pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
> 
> A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
> 
> An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
> 
> For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x49b5…d249` — 3,267.811 shares
- `0xa8b3…4484` — 2,806.353 shares
- `0x896a…f878` — 2,320.151 shares
- `0xafd2…9693` — 2,299.978 shares
- `0x7319…0299` — 2,032.745 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 38,117.128 shares
- `0xf67c…2886` — 50 shares
- `0x7740…cbcd` — 41.074 shares
- `0xff47…d81f` — 30.121 shares
- `0x558f…1a56` — 25.009 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T20:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T19:53:07.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 2¢ |
| Net change | -1.2pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-in-turkey-182-161-789` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T19:54:11.806Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-in-turkey-182-161-789.
```

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