# Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 26 May 2026 13:41:07 GMT. 24h change +0.6pp, 24h volume $312.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-trump-pardon-tiger-woods-by-june-30
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-tiger-woods-by-june-30
**Category:** Politics
**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-26T13:41:07.428Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.2pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.6pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.4pp |
| 24h volume | $312.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $507.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $20.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 30, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
> 
> The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc18b…3917` — 3,526.721 shares
- `0x3397…f5ab` — 3,333 shares
- `0x9ad0…bf3d` — 2,090.961 shares
- `0xcb04…832f` — 1,999.997 shares
- `0x7df2…01af` — 1,494.906 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe749…f771` — 24,822.48 shares
- `0xf72c…eeb7` — 1,108.778 shares
- `0xcc79…1c2a` — 600 shares
- `0x30d1…4525` — 398.56 shares
- `0xa667…ceb3` — 330.006 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-19T14:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-26T13:40:04.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 2¢ |
| Net change | +0.6pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-trump-pardon-tiger-woods-by-june-30` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-26T13:41:07.428Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-trump-pardon-tiger-woods-by-june-30.
```

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