# Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 04:58:58 GMT. 24h change +0.1pp, 24h volume $156.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/will-williams-be-the-2026-f1-constructors-champion
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/will-williams-be-the-2026-f1-constructors-champion
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Dec 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T04:58:58.950Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.1pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.2pp |
| 24h volume | $156.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $2.1M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $111.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Dec 6, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. 
> 
> This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
> 
> In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
> 
> If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
> 
> If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 5%): Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x6161…8ad9` — 59,968.418 shares
- `0xc130…83f7` — 18,664.525 shares
- `0x21ff…0d71` — 6,952.94 shares
- `0xd600…b66e` — 6,666.535 shares
- `0x66f2…a943` — 4,235.583 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ef…2966` — 124,345.3 shares
- `0x6109…8607` — 1,264.18 shares
- `0x0362…449e` — 999.989 shares
- `0xcf76…395c` — 254.88 shares
- `0x9191…cfd9` — 180.151 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-30T05:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T04:45:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 1¢ |
| Net change | +0.2pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=will-williams-be-the-2026-f1-constructors-champion` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T04:58:58.950Z from https://orrery.me/markets/will-williams-be-the-2026-f1-constructors-champion.
```

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