# Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 32% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 02:29:34 GMT. 24h change -5.0pp, 24h volume $5.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wnba-conn-por-2026-05-27
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wnba-conn-por-2026-05-27
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T02:29:34.783Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **32¢** (32%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -5.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -14.5pp |
| 24h volume | $5.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $5.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $33.5K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wnba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for May 27 at 10:00PM ET:
> If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun".
> If the PortlandFire win, the market will resolve to "PortlandFire".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x4bff…fc26` — 359,467.741 shares
- `0xb45a…192c` — 41,633.374 shares
- `0xafe4…f3f7` — 7,999.837 shares
- `0x0167…d002` — 998.688 shares
- `0xddb6…b9b3` — 815.58 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2d7b…e2ce` — 149,720.956 shares
- `0xee00…cea1` — 104,999.99 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 35,000 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 26,686 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 25,314.048 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-21T03:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-28T02:29:04.000Z |
| Range | 28¢ → 61¢ |
| Net change | -20.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wnba-conn-por-2026-05-27` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire — 32% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T02:29:34.783Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wnba-conn-por-2026-05-27.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*