# Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 47% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 04:43:07 GMT. 24h change +5.5pp, 24h volume $1.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wnba-conn-sea-2026-05-20
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wnba-conn-sea-2026-05-20
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T04:43:07.146Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **47¢** (47%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +5.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +6.5pp |
| 24h volume | $1.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $1.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $14.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wnba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for May 20 at 10:00PM ET:
> If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun".
> If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x7120…7c4e` — 7,269.211 shares
- `0x2c33…0563` — 3,074.214 shares
- `0xff34…694b` — 2,529.82 shares
- `0x1b8f…cca7` — 2,500.621 shares
- `0x7634…600d` — 2,019.999 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf00c…f4fe` — 20,767.894 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 17,332.53 shares
- `0x26b4…b8a9` — 15,964.009 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 4,588 shares
- `0xb184…b6c6` — 3,740.7 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-13T16:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T15:25:03.000Z |
| Range | 40¢ → 49¢ |
| Net change | +6.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wnba-conn-sea-2026-05-20` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm — 47% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T04:43:07.146Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wnba-conn-sea-2026-05-20.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*