# Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 47% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 03:18:40 GMT. 24h change +12.0pp, 24h volume $0.00.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wnba-la-las-2026-05-23
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wnba-la-las-2026-05-23
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T03:18:40.332Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **47¢** (47%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +12.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -3.5pp |
| 24h volume | $0.00 |
| Lifetime volume | $12.62 |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.2K |
| Spread | 15.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wnba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for May 23 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks".
> If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 55%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb45a…192c` — 99,999.939 shares
- `0x2e98…9046` — 6,399.72 shares
- `0x7120…7c4e` — 1,859.679 shares
- `0x362c…f753` — 1,111.33 shares
- `0x8927…f5c6` — 1,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x27f7…44b0` — 85,046 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 19,209.883 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 13,352.198 shares
- `0x032e…2a9e` — 9,715.52 shares
- `0x32ed…f960` — 8,974.78 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-13T01:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T00:47:05.000Z |
| Range | 35¢ → 57¢ |
| Net change | -3.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wnba-la-las-2026-05-23` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces — 47% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T03:18:40.332Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wnba-la-las-2026-05-23.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*