# Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 94% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 19:32:30 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $455.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-andreev-ribera-2026-05-27
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-andreev-ribera-2026-05-27
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T19:32:30.941Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **94¢** (94%) |
| Δ 1h | +13.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $455.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $442.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $80.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 3, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Mirra Andreeva and Marina Bassols Ribera in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Mirra Andreeva' if Mirra Andreeva advances against Marina Bassols Ribera.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Marina Bassols Ribera' if Marina Bassols Ribera advances against Mirra Andreeva.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **divergence** (confidence 80%): Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +13.0pp vs. 24h -2.0pp.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 19:27 UTC | `0x242e…6372` | SELL | MIRRA ANDREEVA | $0.07 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf883…cd1f` — 194,910.383 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 25,386.151 shares
- `0xb9e5…1809` — 13,400 shares
- `0x45e1…5934` — 12,171.37 shares
- `0x160b…4296` — 5,654.522 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf3c7…c83b` — 75,645.974 shares
- `0x99f0…9495` — 54,171.787 shares
- `0x32b4…8b21` — 24,564.931 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 19,907.797 shares
- `0xb38f…5048` — 15,309.906 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 64 |
| Window start | 2026-05-25T05:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T19:31:06.000Z |
| Range | 87¢ → 99¢ |
| Net change | +6.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-andreev-ribera-2026-05-27` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera — 94% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T19:32:30.941Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-andreev-ribera-2026-05-27.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*