# Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Noemi Basiletti vs Daria Snigur

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 15:10:57 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $327.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-basilet-snigur-2026-05-05
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-basilet-snigur-2026-05-05
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T15:10:57.717Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +35.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $327.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $327.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $146.0K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi Basiletti and Daria Snigur in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Noemi Basiletti' if Noemi Basiletti advances against Daria Snigur.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Daria Snigur' if Daria Snigur advances against Noemi Basiletti.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x14f1…4a46` — 16,300 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 13,035.237 shares
- `0x13f0…a50f` — 11,934 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 5,560.68 shares
- `0xce9f…26e8` — 4,980.233 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe3d4…2bac` — 13,894.328 shares
- `0x499c…2f8e` — 10,000 shares
- `0xec71…35dc` — 8,994.177 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 6,974.221 shares
- `0x5fea…78b1` — 6,946 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 21 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T17:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T12:49:04.000Z |
| Range | 18¢ → 53¢ |
| Net change | -4.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-basilet-snigur-2026-05-05` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Noemi Basiletti vs Daria Snigur — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T15:10:57.717Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-basilet-snigur-2026-05-05.
```

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