# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 15:07:20 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $437.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-bondar-zhen-2026-05-05
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-bondar-zhen-2026-05-05
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T15:07:20.640Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $437.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $437.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $292.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Bondar and Qinwen Zheng in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna Bondar advances against Qinwen Zheng.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Anna Bondar.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1fa5…8702` — 24,294.444 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 11,953.03 shares
- `0xa1e4…4f8a` — 8,665.928 shares
- `0x4698…d7a5` — 6,587.909 shares
- `0x2a67…d370` — 6,499.757 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3555…ba40` — 26,545.73 shares
- `0x6a88…b859` — 20,020.02 shares
- `0xa72a…93fd` — 20,000 shares
- `0x83d2…d196` — 11,838.613 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 10,002.509 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 24 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T17:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T15:06:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 48¢ |
| Net change | -31.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-bondar-zhen-2026-05-05` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T15:07:20.640Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-bondar-zhen-2026-05-05.
```

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