# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 14% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 13:01:04 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $46.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-bucsa-zhen-2026-05-07
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-bucsa-zhen-2026-05-07
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T13:01:04.000Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **14¢** (14%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $46.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $50.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $34.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Cristina Bucsa and Qinwen Zheng in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Cristina Bucsa' if Cristina Bucsa advances against Qinwen Zheng.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Cristina Bucsa.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5af4…a7df` — 61,955.051 shares
- `0xf284…b9f9` — 19,608.583 shares
- `0x9cb9…32f2` — 10,747.95 shares
- `0x1f36…2819` — 9,357.147 shares
- `0x6ae8…c9a3` — 6,799.82 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x0ebb…cb1a` — 10,288.63 shares
- `0x710c…78ea` — 4,387.91 shares
- `0x9c19…859c` — 992.295 shares
- `0x551d…9326` — 636.835 shares
- `0xf56b…ac88` — 531.9 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 39 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T17:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T06:59:04.000Z |
| Range | 14¢ → 23¢ |
| Net change | -7.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-bucsa-zhen-2026-05-07` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng — 14% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T13:01:04.000Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-bucsa-zhen-2026-05-07.
```

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