# Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 07:49:19 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $270.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-cabrera-zongyul-2026-05-06
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-cabrera-zongyul-2026-05-06
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T07:49:19.393Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $270.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $270.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $293.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Lizette Cabrera and Zongyu Li in the Jiujiang, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Lizette Cabrera' if Lizette Cabrera advances against Zongyu Li.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Zongyu Li' if Zongyu Li advances against Lizette Cabrera.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x38c2…d3a7` — 69,031.494 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 21,869.81 shares
- `0x0979…8d9b` — 8,450.947 shares
- `0x710c…78ea` — 1,909.312 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 1,520.715 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xbba9…f183` — 22,730.508 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 20,631.089 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 13,723.167 shares
- `0x5fea…78b1` — 8,766.692 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 8,108.385 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 22 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T11:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T07:47:16.000Z |
| Range | 41¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-cabrera-zongyul-2026-05-06` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Li — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T07:49:19.393Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-cabrera-zongyul-2026-05-06.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*