# Internationaux de Strasbourg: Jaqueline Cristian vs Daria Kasatkina

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 39% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 13:18:45 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $295.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-cristia-kasatki-2026-05-21
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-cristia-kasatki-2026-05-21
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T13:18:45.540Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **39¢** (39%) |
| Δ 1h | +5.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $295.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $295.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $91.1K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Jaqueline Cristian and Daria Kasatkina in the Internationaux de Strasbourg, originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Jaqueline Cristian' if Jaqueline Cristian advances against Daria Kasatkina.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Jaqueline Cristian.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 13:14 UTC | `Boiling-Sepal` | BUY | DARIA KASATKINA | $4.00 |
| May 21, 13:14 UTC | `Boiling-Sepal` | BUY | DARIA KASATKINA | $2.00 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 22,168.17 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 12,318.009 shares
- `0x8bfe…2d74` — 10,487.26 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 10,038.786 shares
- `0xe2e9…1c08` — 3,999.99 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe8c4…395d` — 10,800 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 9,063.916 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 7,929.435 shares
- `0xce36…2b99` — 6,400.607 shares
- `0x3ca9…698d` — 6,165.76 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 21 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T17:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T12:40:07.000Z |
| Range | 40¢ → 53¢ |
| Net change | +12.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-cristia-kasatki-2026-05-21` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internationaux de Strasbourg: Jaqueline Cristian vs Daria Kasatkina — 39% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T13:18:45.540Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-cristia-kasatki-2026-05-21.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*