# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 18:05:02 GMT. 24h change -7.4pp, 24h volume $227.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-eala-rybakin-2026-05-10
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-eala-rybakin-2026-05-10
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 17, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T18:05:02.056Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -7.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $227.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $231.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $548.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 17, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Eala and Elena Rybakina in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Eala' if Alexandra Eala advances against Elena Rybakina.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Alexandra Eala.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9367…f6be` — 47,516.569 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 32,249.307 shares
- `0xd5d4…8b32` — 10,088.032 shares
- `0x9734…bb94` — 7,377.918 shares
- `0x1df2…89a0` — 5,027.837 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x204f…5e14` — 43,679.696 shares
- `0x44a1…bd21` — 30,000 shares
- `0xb9e5…1809` — 15,099.99 shares
- `0x0ade…ed94` — 9,319.66 shares
- `0xcd36…a8ac` — 7,072.9 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 33 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T11:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T18:04:09.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 9¢ |
| Net change | -6.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-eala-rybakin-2026-05-10` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T18:05:02.056Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-eala-rybakin-2026-05-10.
```

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