# Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawa

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 10:47:35 GMT. 24h change -56.5pp, 24h volume $158.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-erjavec-kawa-2026-05-03
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-erjavec-kawa-2026-05-03
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T10:47:35.819Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -56.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $158.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $158.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $540.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Veronika Erjavec and Katarzyna Kawa in the Huzhou, originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 2:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Veronika Erjavec' if Veronika Erjavec advances against Katarzyna Kawa.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Veronika Erjavec.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x54ba…04e4` — 12,803.472 shares
- `0x6076…f8fd` — 9,853.464 shares
- `0xbba9…f183` — 9,402.474 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 6,346.218 shares
- `0xde04…fa37` — 4,100 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2005…75ea` — 9,958.692 shares
- `0x6b90…2194` — 3,198.619 shares
- `0x9086…4d46` — 714.286 shares
- `0x51eb…6bfa` — 659.992 shares
- `0xecae…b906` — 599.994 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 24 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T11:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T10:00:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 59¢ |
| Net change | -56.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-erjavec-kawa-2026-05-03` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawa — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T10:47:35.819Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-erjavec-kawa-2026-05-03.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*