# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 57% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 13:47:15 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $368.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-gauff-svitoli-2026-05-16
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-gauff-svitoli-2026-05-16
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T13:47:15.667Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **57¢** (57%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $368.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $392.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $138.1K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Coco Gauff and Elina Svitolina in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff advances against Elina Svitolina.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Coco Gauff.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1eaf…9bf0` — 118,912.74 shares
- `0xc7b5…4527` — 85,880 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 51,443.766 shares
- `0xf284…b9f9` — 46,495.67 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 28,679.882 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1925…4654` — 180,572.003 shares
- `0x9f2f…2ca8` — 117,890.133 shares
- `0x19e2…ce3c` — 26,186.096 shares
- `0x86fb…03d4` — 11,627.907 shares
- `0xbba5…0e42` — 11,034.337 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 33 |
| Window start | 2026-05-15T05:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T13:45:09.000Z |
| Range | 57¢ → 60¢ |
| Net change | -2.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-gauff-svitoli-2026-05-16` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina — 57% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T13:47:15.667Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-gauff-svitoli-2026-05-16.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*