# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Tereza Valentova

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 18:27:32 GMT. 24h change +22.9pp, 24h volume $291.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-gauff-valento-2026-05-07
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-gauff-valento-2026-05-07
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T18:27:32.598Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +22.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $291.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $291.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $476.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Coco Gauff and Tereza Valentova in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 8:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff advances against Tereza Valentova.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Tereza Valentova' if Tereza Valentova advances against Coco Gauff.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x4900…4a72` — 9,298.53 shares
- `0x1519…8dfb` — 6,000 shares
- `0x479e…91c3` — 5,597.18 shares
- `0x710c…78ea` — 3,106.964 shares
- `0x8713…4007` — 641.026 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x9367…f6be` — 50,277.668 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 15,211.191 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 11,609.13 shares
- `0xd5d4…8b32` — 4,544.399 shares
- `0x2c3c…4683` — 4,491.398 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 27 |
| Window start | 2026-05-06T17:00:13.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T18:09:04.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +49.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-gauff-valento-2026-05-07` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Tereza Valentova — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T18:27:32.598Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-gauff-valento-2026-05-07.
```

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