# GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 16:40:10 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $379.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-kalinin-bondar-2026-05-21
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-kalinin-bondar-2026-05-21
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T16:40:10.794Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +31.9pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $379.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $379.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $244.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Anhelina Kalinina and Anna Bondar in the GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 9:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Anhelina Kalinina' if Anhelina Kalinina advances against Anna Bondar.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna Bondar advances against Anhelina Kalinina.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf3ce…8bc6` — 20,000 shares
- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 16,842.25 shares
- `0x13f0…a50f` — 15,820 shares
- `0x0997…c9f6` — 10,846 shares
- `0xf519…906b` — 10,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 29,628.886 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 26,303.816 shares
- `0xf284…b9f9` — 25,522.653 shares
- `0xa1e4…4f8a` — 4,998.729 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 4,726.886 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 19 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T23:00:21.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T16:05:06.000Z |
| Range | 55¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +45.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-kalinin-bondar-2026-05-21` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T16:40:10.794Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-kalinin-bondar-2026-05-21.
```

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