# La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatsch

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 80% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 12:47:28 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $325.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-kasatki-korpats-2026-05-03
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-kasatki-korpats-2026-05-03
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T12:47:28.480Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **80¢** (80%) |
| Δ 1h | +29.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $325.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $326.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $84.8K |
| Spread | 1.80pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Tamara Korpatsch in the La Bisbal, originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Tamara Korpatsch.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Tamara Korpatsch' if Tamara Korpatsch advances against Daria Kasatkina.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3ac0…7604` — 34,801 shares
- `0x0ebb…cb1a` — 14,090.83 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 10,000.06 shares
- `0x779a…b689` — 7,000 shares
- `0x0d96…f714` — 5,650 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd3df…82fa` — 18,467.543 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 13,492.484 shares
- `0x42c9…9623` — 13,235.483 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 9,371.75 shares
- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 3,981.55 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 19 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T17:00:10.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T10:39:06.000Z |
| Range | 22¢ → 73¢ |
| Net change | -15.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-kasatki-korpats-2026-05-03` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatsch — 80% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T12:47:28.480Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-kasatki-korpats-2026-05-03.
```

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