# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescu

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 15:07:46 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $405.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-kenin-andrees-2026-05-05
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-kenin-andrees-2026-05-05
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T15:07:46.712Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $405.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $405.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $378.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Kenin and Bianca Andreescu in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Sofia Kenin' if Sofia Kenin advances against Bianca Andreescu.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Bianca Andreescu' if Bianca Andreescu advances against Sofia Kenin.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 21,599.52 shares
- `0x84cb…28ad` — 13,975.707 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 11,048.782 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 10,508.915 shares
- `0x56d2…d7a0` — 9,100 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x13f0…a50f` — 28,717 shares
- `0xde9f…d43c` — 10,123.224 shares
- `0xf519…906b` — 9,999.92 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 8,499.432 shares
- `0xd3df…82fa` — 7,537.778 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 23 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T18:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T15:06:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 49¢ |
| Net change | -44.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-kenin-andrees-2026-05-05` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescu — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T15:07:46.712Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-kenin-andrees-2026-05-05.
```

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