# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzetti

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 78% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 16:19:32 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $164.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-kessler-bronzet-2026-05-05
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-kessler-bronzet-2026-05-05
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T16:19:32.265Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **78¢** (78%) |
| Δ 1h | +8.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $164.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $164.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $117.4K |
| Spread | 0.90pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between McCartney Kessler and Lucia Bronzetti in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'McCartney Kessler' if McCartney Kessler advances against Lucia Bronzetti.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Lucia Bronzetti' if Lucia Bronzetti advances against McCartney Kessler.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc30c…6509` — 25,550 shares
- `0x84cb…28ad` — 22,539.251 shares
- `0xf2ce…5462` — 18,000 shares
- `0x4698…d7a5` — 7,381.369 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 3,752.91 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf4f7…b944` — 17,794.745 shares
- `0x2a67…d370` — 15,056.418 shares
- `0xd3df…82fa` — 7,952.259 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 7,816.813 shares
- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 7,031 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 24 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T17:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T15:05:03.000Z |
| Range | 54¢ → 89¢ |
| Net change | +13.8pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-kessler-bronzet-2026-05-05` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzetti — 78% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T16:19:32.265Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-kessler-bronzet-2026-05-05.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*
