# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Iva Jovic

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 23:30:15 GMT. 24h change -28.4pp, 24h volume $368.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-kessler-jovic-2026-05-07
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-kessler-jovic-2026-05-07
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T23:30:15.548Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -28.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $368.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $368.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $668.7K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between McCartney Kessler and Iva Jovic in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'McCartney Kessler' if McCartney Kessler advances against Iva Jovic.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Iva Jovic' if Iva Jovic advances against McCartney Kessler.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9367…f6be` — 19,050.595 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 9,999.695 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 9,191.184 shares
- `0xbe7e…6d00` — 5,833.333 shares
- `0x336b…1233` — 5,400.95 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x0997…c9f6` — 26,559 shares
- `0x9ad6…4251` — 20,785 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 11,532.23 shares
- `0x17d6…f1e2` — 5,000 shares
- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 4,937.68 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 50 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T23:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T23:29:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 60¢ |
| Net change | -59.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-kessler-jovic-2026-05-07` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Iva Jovic — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T23:30:15.548Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-kessler-jovic-2026-05-07.
```

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