# Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Alina Korneeva vs Ella Seidel

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 15:15:51 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $173.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-korneev-seidel-2026-05-04
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-korneev-seidel-2026-05-04
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T15:15:51.535Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $173.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $173.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $229.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Korneeva and Ella Seidel in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Alina Korneeva' if Alina Korneeva advances against Ella Seidel.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Ella Seidel' if Ella Seidel advances against Alina Korneeva.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x710c…78ea` — 2,439.301 shares
- `0x284d…59f7` — 847.971 shares
- `0x9ce0…2b8a` — 799.994 shares
- `0x86aa…0d32` — 217.391 shares
- `0x5428…e46a` — 202.08 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 6,249.231 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 4,304.997 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 3,888.075 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 2,918.837 shares
- `0xd5d4…8b32` — 2,691.549 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 16 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T23:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T13:05:04.000Z |
| Range | 51¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +49.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-korneev-seidel-2026-05-04` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Alina Korneeva vs Ella Seidel — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T15:15:51.535Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-korneev-seidel-2026-05-04.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*