# Parma: Barbora Krejcikova vs Anna-Lena Friedsam

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 13:53:23 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $254.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-krejcik-friedsa-2026-05-13
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-krejcik-friedsa-2026-05-13
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T13:53:23.981Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $254.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $254.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $155.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Krejcikova and Anna-Lena Friedsam in the Parma, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Barbora Krejcikova' if Barbora Krejcikova advances against Anna-Lena Friedsam.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Anna-Lena Friedsam' if Anna-Lena Friedsam advances against Barbora Krejcikova.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfa20…fd0d` — 31,000 shares
- `0x44a1…bd21` — 30,000 shares
- `0xba8c…e77d` — 12,490.83 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 4,930.544 shares
- `0xafaf…1635` — 2,600.459 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 31,139.111 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 27,743.041 shares
- `0x6ec0…4be2` — 5,000 shares
- `0x99d7…6435` — 4,318.6 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 4,075.937 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 22 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T17:00:24.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T13:52:08.000Z |
| Range | 72¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +9.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-krejcik-friedsa-2026-05-13` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Parma: Barbora Krejcikova vs Anna-Lena Friedsam — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T13:53:23.981Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-krejcik-friedsa-2026-05-13.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*
