# Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 56% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 14:25:35 GMT. 24h change +1.0pp, 24h volume $96.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-marcink-lys-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-marcink-lys-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T14:25:35.896Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **56¢** (56%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $96.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $115.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $50.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Petra Marcinko and Eva Lys in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Petra Marcinko' if Petra Marcinko advances against Eva Lys.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Eva Lys' if Eva Lys advances against Petra Marcinko.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb0da…f3f0` — 69,999.422 shares
- `0x5af4…a7df` — 21,979.227 shares
- `0xe734…4f0c` — 15,496.6 shares
- `0xce9f…26e8` — 11,260.329 shares
- `0x9d94…017d` — 10,360.224 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 31,516.607 shares
- `0x6a88…b859` — 30,030.03 shares
- `0x9c76…c926` — 18,875.418 shares
- `0x3555…ba40` — 18,830.691 shares
- `0x84cb…28ad` — 15,734.159 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 79 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T05:00:14.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T10:17:04.000Z |
| Range | 52¢ → 56¢ |
| Net change | +2.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-marcink-lys-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys — 56% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T14:25:35.896Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-marcink-lys-2026-05-24.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*