# Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 62% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 19:29:02 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $3.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-mboko-fernand-2026-05-21
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-mboko-fernand-2026-05-21
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T19:29:02.437Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **62¢** (62%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $3.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $3.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $47.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Mboko and Leylah Fernandez in the Internationaux de Strasbourg, originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Victoria Mboko' if Victoria Mboko advances against Leylah Fernandez.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Victoria Mboko.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x996a…e3cc` — 40,382.15 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 14,308.729 shares
- `0x59ba…f6a2` — 12,978 shares
- `0xe2e9…1c08` — 9,283.443 shares
- `0xbb9b…8aed` — 7,833.2 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x0dcf…c556` — 21,361.303 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 20,685.014 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 13,862.152 shares
- `0x5af4…a7df` — 13,378.758 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 7,967.885 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 18 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T11:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T03:46:04.000Z |
| Range | 60¢ → 62¢ |
| Net change | +2.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-mboko-fernand-2026-05-21` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez — 62% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T19:29:02.437Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-mboko-fernand-2026-05-21.
```

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