# Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Li

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 22 May 2026 17:02:27 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $529.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-navarro-annli-2026-05-22
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-navarro-annli-2026-05-22
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-22T17:02:27.702Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.6pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $529.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $529.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $631.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Navarro and Ann Li in the Internationaux de Strasbourg, originally scheduled for May 22, 2026 at 8:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Emma Navarro' if Emma Navarro advances against Ann Li.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Ann Li' if Ann Li advances against Emma Navarro.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x83d2…d196` — 89,890.13 shares
- `0x2c33…0563` — 20,174.05 shares
- `0x2efa…8a01` — 1,818.18 shares
- `0x40ce…bf90` — 1,300 shares
- `0x5b62…d87f` — 999.959 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf284…b9f9` — 77,350.948 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 67,170.853 shares
- `0xde9f…d43c` — 12,092.168 shares
- `0xb5a4…5780` — 8,702.394 shares
- `0x4064…5f1e` — 5,291.651 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 17 |
| Window start | 2026-05-21T23:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-22T14:47:03.000Z |
| Range | 42¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +52.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-navarro-annli-2026-05-22` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Li — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-22T17:02:27.702Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-navarro-annli-2026-05-22.
```

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