# Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 20 May 2026 20:50:05 GMT. 24h change +66.5pp, 24h volume $697.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-navarro-jovic-2026-05-20
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-navarro-jovic-2026-05-20
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 27, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-20T20:50:05.092Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +66.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $697.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $700.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $428.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 27, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Navarro and Iva Jovic in the Internationaux de Strasbourg, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Emma Navarro' if Emma Navarro advances against Iva Jovic.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Iva Jovic' if Iva Jovic advances against Emma Navarro.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5268…135d` — 49,365.463 shares
- `0x10ff…5088` — 44,316.32 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 26,823.694 shares
- `0xcd3f…8e2b` — 20,020 shares
- `0x59ba…f6a2` — 12,520 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf284…b9f9` — 42,397.234 shares
- `0xf00c…f4fe` — 27,795.936 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 23,794.294 shares
- `0x4c22…0c2c` — 11,497.396 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 10,920 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 65 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T05:00:21.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T20:25:05.000Z |
| Range | 28¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +68.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-navarro-jovic-2026-05-20` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-20T20:50:05.092Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-navarro-jovic-2026-05-20.
```

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