# GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Camila Osorio vs Panna Udvardy

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 12:54:45 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $327.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-osorio-udvardy-2026-05-21
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-osorio-udvardy-2026-05-21
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T12:54:45.168Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -16.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $327.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $327.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $186.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Camila Osorio and Panna Udvardy in the GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Camila Osorio' if Camila Osorio advances against Panna Udvardy.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Panna Udvardy' if Panna Udvardy advances against Camila Osorio.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x0d2d…7ff5` — 50,346.079 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 21,928.543 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 14,505.04 shares
- `0x10ff…5088` — 9,239.22 shares
- `0x9d94…017d` — 3,500.824 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfa20…fd0d` — 50,750 shares
- `0xf2ce…5462` — 22,635 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 16,399.883 shares
- `0x26b4…b8a9` — 14,364.973 shares
- `0x3555…ba40` — 6,239.46 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 15 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T23:00:21.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T12:39:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 72¢ |
| Net change | -71.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-osorio-udvardy-2026-05-21` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Camila Osorio vs Panna Udvardy — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T12:54:45.168Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-osorio-udvardy-2026-05-21.
```

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