# Parma: Alycia Parks vs Susan Bandecchi

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 17:03:06 GMT. 24h change -35.4pp, 24h volume $440.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-parks-bandecc-2026-05-13
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-parks-bandecc-2026-05-13
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T17:03:06.368Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -14.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -35.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $440.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $440.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $291.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Alycia Parks and Susan Bandecchi in the Parma, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Alycia Parks' if Alycia Parks advances against Susan Bandecchi.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Susan Bandecchi' if Susan Bandecchi advances against Alycia Parks.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 89%): Probability moved down 35.4pp in 24h with 1.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xde9f…b8f7` — 131,744.564 shares
- `0x38c2…d3a7` — 15,307.575 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 11,994.754 shares
- `0x3257…2f3b` — 8,999.991 shares
- `0xcf03…5b17` — 6,301.435 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5268…135d` — 28,808.885 shares
- `0x13f0…a50f` — 24,204.34 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 22,204.956 shares
- `0xdf0d…9f79` — 20,000 shares
- `0x10ff…5088` — 17,584.148 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 26 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T17:00:24.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T17:03:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 73¢ |
| Net change | -35.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-parks-bandecc-2026-05-13` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Parma: Alycia Parks vs Susan Bandecchi — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T17:03:06.368Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-parks-bandecc-2026-05-13.
```

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