# Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkova

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 13:18:23 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $253.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-potapov-bartunk-2026-05-05
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-potapov-bartunk-2026-05-05
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T13:18:23.589Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $253.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $253.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $519.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Potapova and Nikola Bartunkova in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Potapova' if Anastasia Potapova advances against Nikola Bartunkova.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Anastasia Potapova.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2dc8…47d0` — 15,168.55 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 10,001.24 shares
- `0xa72a…93fd` — 10,000 shares
- `0x1f78…bbe8` — 9,950 shares
- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 8,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2a67…d370` — 14,011.438 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 9,957.906 shares
- `0x76a0…bf09` — 8,520 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 8,446 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 7,725.508 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 22 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T17:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T13:18:05.000Z |
| Range | 68¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +32.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-potapov-bartunk-2026-05-05` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkova — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T13:18:23.589Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-potapov-bartunk-2026-05-05.
```

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