# Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Irina-Camelia Begu

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 13:08:17 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $160.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-potapov-begu-2026-05-04
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-potapov-begu-2026-05-04
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T13:08:17.441Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $160.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $160.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $412.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Potapova and Irina-Camelia Begu in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Potapova' if Anastasia Potapova advances against Irina-Camelia Begu.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Irina-Camelia Begu' if Irina-Camelia Begu advances against Anastasia Potapova.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2005…75ea` — 13,446.668 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 5,578.375 shares
- `0xf7d6…cab5` — 599.974 shares
- `0x25fa…bdd0` — 232.98 shares
- `0x51eb…6bfa` — 120 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe30e…6b87` — 71,237.337 shares
- `0xcf6c…7e66` — 11,160.544 shares
- `0xe736…9d9f` — 5,035.826 shares
- `0x9d8a…5201` — 5,001.587 shares
- `0x66b1…340f` — 1,409.39 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 13 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T23:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T10:35:03.000Z |
| Range | 84¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +15.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-potapov-begu-2026-05-04` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Irina-Camelia Begu — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T13:08:17.441Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-potapov-begu-2026-05-04.
```

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