# Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristian

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 20:46:21 GMT. 24h change +75.4pp, 24h volume $344.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-rakhimo-cristia-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-rakhimo-cristia-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T20:46:21.125Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +75.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $344.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $344.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $511.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Kamilla Rakhimova and Jaqueline Cristian in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Kamilla Rakhimova' if Kamilla Rakhimova advances against Jaqueline Cristian.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Jaqueline Cristian' if Jaqueline Cristian advances against Kamilla Rakhimova.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x32b4…8b21` — 2,021.151 shares
- `0x9d8a…5201` — 1,634.259 shares
- `0x272d…bc2f` — 1,412.935 shares
- `0x9ec2…bd08` — 603.644 shares
- `0xf800…bdba` — 200 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xddfc…bd59` — 10,040.472 shares
- `0x365f…706a` — 7,611.476 shares
- `0x1e33…afb3` — 3,614.458 shares
- `0xb4d2…ce99` — 1,923.572 shares
- `0x66b1…340f` — 1,386.774 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 88 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T05:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T19:33:04.000Z |
| Range | 23¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +40.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-rakhimo-cristia-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristian — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T20:46:21.125Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-rakhimo-cristia-2026-05-24.
```

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