# Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemot

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 97% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 19:02:56 GMT. 24h change -0.3pp, 24h volume $445.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-sabalen-jacquem-2026-05-28
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-sabalen-jacquem-2026-05-28
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T19:02:56.433Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **97¢** (97%) |
| Δ 1h | +2.7pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.3pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $445.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $453.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $43.2K |
| Spread | 0.30pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 4, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elsa Jacquemot in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Elsa Jacquemot.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Elsa Jacquemot' if Elsa Jacquemot advances against Aryna Sabalenka.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x204f…5e14` — 50,979.735 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 23,332.968 shares
- `0xbdc3…c0ea` — 22,559.253 shares
- `0x44a1…bd21` — 18,475.24 shares
- `0x4900…4a72` — 14,062.92 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2fa0…be6d` — 112,020.821 shares
- `0x99f0…9495` — 18,815.801 shares
- `0x5af4…a7df` — 14,596.578 shares
- `0x58b3…653c` — 12,310.49 shares
- `0xeaf3…e802` — 10,019.987 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 52 |
| Window start | 2026-05-26T17:00:12.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-28T19:01:09.000Z |
| Range | 90¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +9.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-sabalen-jacquem-2026-05-28` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemot — 97% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T19:02:56.433Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-sabalen-jacquem-2026-05-28.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*