# Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liu

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 19:03:23 GMT. 24h change +35.4pp, 24h volume $317.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-sakkari-liu-2026-05-28
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-sakkari-liu-2026-05-28
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T19:03:23.566Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +35.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $317.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $317.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $547.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 4, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sakkari and Claire Liu in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Maria Sakkari' if Maria Sakkari advances against Claire Liu.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Maria Sakkari.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1117…3532` — 9,330.357 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 657.239 shares
- `0x0ade…ed94` — 606.04 shares
- `0xb5e7…3c1a` — 502.177 shares
- `0xd3e7…bf64` — 369.991 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xcd65…ee96` — 20,553.75 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 17,255.056 shares
- `0x5af4…a7df` — 14,046.11 shares
- `0x6982…a165` — 4,243.113 shares
- `0x26e7…cc6c` — 3,636.36 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 50 |
| Window start | 2026-05-26T17:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-28T18:00:04.000Z |
| Range | 13¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +41.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-sakkari-liu-2026-05-28` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liu — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T19:03:23.566Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-sakkari-liu-2026-05-28.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*