# Parma: Dominika Salkova vs Mayar Sherif

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 17:03:05 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $250.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-salkova-sherif-2026-05-13
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-salkova-sherif-2026-05-13
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T17:03:05.572Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $250.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $250.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $175.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Dominika Salkova and Mayar Sherif in the Parma, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 9:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Dominika Salkova' if Dominika Salkova advances against Mayar Sherif.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Mayar Sherif' if Mayar Sherif advances against Dominika Salkova.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x204f…5e14` — 16,656.777 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 11,200.621 shares
- `0xfa20…fd0d` — 8,727.05 shares
- `0x32b4…8b21` — 4,667.907 shares
- `0x5aa9…febe` — 3,449.353 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 25,759.263 shares
- `0x8a3a…eb9a` — 22,720.58 shares
- `0x710c…78ea` — 5,436.64 shares
- `0x4699…5051` — 2,267.375 shares
- `0x4064…5f1e` — 1,726.676 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 20 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T23:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T17:02:07.000Z |
| Range | 29¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +63.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-salkova-sherif-2026-05-13` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Parma: Dominika Salkova vs Mayar Sherif — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T17:03:05.572Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-salkova-sherif-2026-05-13.
```

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