# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Karolina Pliskova

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 22:09:00 GMT. 24h change -50.4pp, 24h volume $333.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-siegemu-pliskov-2026-05-10
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-siegemu-pliskov-2026-05-10
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 17, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T22:09:00.805Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -50.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $333.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $345.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $376.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 17, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Siegemund and Karolina Pliskova in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Laura Siegemund' if Laura Siegemund advances against Karolina Pliskova.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Karolina Pliskova' if Karolina Pliskova advances against Laura Siegemund.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5fe6…a99f` — 20,000 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 17,293.309 shares
- `0xd123…d341` — 14,999.932 shares
- `0x9a4c…1f30` — 8,096.64 shares
- `0xd5d4…8b32` — 6,582.221 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfa20…fd0d` — 30,000 shares
- `0xf2ce…5462` — 19,896 shares
- `0xc5dc…7cf2` — 17,555 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 15,263.041 shares
- `0xdd8e…f023` — 7,635.114 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 42 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T06:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T22:08:10.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-siegemu-pliskov-2026-05-10` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Karolina Pliskova — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T22:09:00.805Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-siegemu-pliskov-2026-05-10.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*