# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Simona Waltert

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 9% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 21:41:59 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $227.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-starodu-waltert-2026-05-06
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-starodu-waltert-2026-05-06
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T21:41:59.683Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **9¢** (9%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $227.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $227.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $11.0K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Starodubtseva and Simona Waltert in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 9:30AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Yulia Starodubtseva' if Yulia Starodubtseva advances against Simona Waltert.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' if Simona Waltert advances against Yulia Starodubtseva.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 10,735.683 shares
- `0x4c1d…4c70` — 8,877.418 shares
- `0x5aa9…febe` — 5,141.33 shares
- `0x2cf0…df85` — 3,707.924 shares
- `0x9d8a…5201` — 2,916.388 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x84cb…28ad` — 19,996.992 shares
- `0x2974…9c23` — 7,483.243 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 4,122.558 shares
- `0x1e33…afb3` — 2,465.753 shares
- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 1,978.758 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 24 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T23:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T21:40:04.000Z |
| Range | 9¢ → 59¢ |
| Net change | -23.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-starodu-waltert-2026-05-06` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Simona Waltert — 9% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T21:41:59.683Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-starodu-waltert-2026-05-06.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*