# Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 85% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 14:25:35 GMT. 24h change +1.0pp, 24h volume $89.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-svitoli-bondar-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-svitoli-bondar-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T14:25:35.033Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **85¢** (85%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $89.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $90.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $110.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Anna Bondar in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Anna Bondar.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna Bondar advances against Elina Svitolina.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **divergence** (confidence 51%): Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -1.0pp vs. 24h +1.0pp.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x65b5…e82f` — 355,011.709 shares
- `0xddfc…bd59` — 13,833.398 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 9,439.793 shares
- `0x03f8…d85a` — 9,161.47 shares
- `0xde19…3c92` — 7,574.407 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2c33…0563` — 184,003.482 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 72,692.994 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 22,852.292 shares
- `0x7a3b…88e5` — 20,281.681 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 18,599.74 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 83 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T05:00:13.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T14:24:05.000Z |
| Range | 46¢ → 93¢ |
| Net change | +47.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-svitoli-bondar-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar — 85% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T14:25:35.033Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-svitoli-bondar-2026-05-24.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*