# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 28% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 19:36:54 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $561.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-svitoli-rybakin-2026-05-13
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-svitoli-rybakin-2026-05-13
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T19:36:54.854Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **28¢** (28%) |
| Δ 1h | +14.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $561.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $563.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $37.0K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Elena Rybakina in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Elena Rybakina.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Elina Svitolina.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 19:36 UTC | `Happy-Go-Lucky-Min` | BUY | ELINA SVITOLINA | $2.45 |
| May 13, 19:36 UTC | `Querulous-Change` | SELL | ELINA SVITOLINA | $1.84 |
| May 13, 19:36 UTC | `Periodic-Principal` | SELL | ELINA SVITOLINA | $13.44 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 36,993.875 shares
- `0x8f3c…2f57` — 32,777.184 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 29,947.498 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 29,468.54 shares
- `0x5234…4c4f` — 29,368.64 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x38c2…d3a7` — 54,648.451 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 34,200.607 shares
- `0x4900…4a72` — 31,543.363 shares
- `0xf1bf…492e` — 23,511.143 shares
- `0x4577…fabd` — 14,716.981 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 46 |
| Window start | 2026-05-11T23:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T19:12:05.000Z |
| Range | 13¢ → 35¢ |
| Net change | -6.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-svitoli-rybakin-2026-05-13` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina — 28% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T19:36:54.854Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-svitoli-rybakin-2026-05-13.
```

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