# Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 52% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 22:21:13 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $790.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-swiatek-svitoli-2026-05-14
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-swiatek-svitoli-2026-05-14
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T22:21:13.539Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **52¢** (52%) |
| Δ 1h | -16.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $790.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $790.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $169.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Elina Svitolina in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 2:30PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Elina Svitolina.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Iga Swiatek.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe4ea…7f3b` — 97,000.512 shares
- `0x4f75…af7e` — 52,960.445 shares
- `0x88d1…18da` — 33,999.942 shares
- `0xf519…906b` — 20,775.835 shares
- `0xef1b…8697` — 17,778.721 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5268…135d` — 31,524.546 shares
- `0xf284…b9f9` — 28,361.13 shares
- `0x187a…a22b` — 23,584.764 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 21,567.676 shares
- `0x5234…4c4f` — 20,749.744 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 25 |
| Window start | 2026-05-13T23:00:13.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T22:11:06.000Z |
| Range | 33¢ → 79¢ |
| Net change | -43.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-swiatek-svitoli-2026-05-14` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina — 52% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T22:21:13.539Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-swiatek-svitoli-2026-05-14.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*