# Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wang

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 13:51:17 GMT. 24h change -57.5pp, 24h volume $246.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-tagger-wa-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-tagger-wa-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T13:51:17.613Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -57.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $246.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $247.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $410.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Xinyu Wang in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Xinyu Wang.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Wang' if Xinyu Wang advances against Lilli Tagger.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x842a…7422` — 15,244.06 shares
- `0x26b4…b8a9` — 9,204.928 shares
- `0xde19…3c92` — 8,767.33 shares
- `0xb9e5…1809` — 7,999.983 shares
- `0xce9f…26e8` — 6,499.984 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x01c7…e995` — 1,936.682 shares
- `0xf5aa…4464` — 467.75 shares
- `0x9ec2…bd08` — 370.9 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 327.251 shares
- `0x5b62…d87f` — 232.2 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 40 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T05:00:15.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T19:03:05.000Z |
| Range | 57¢ → 59¢ |
| Net change | +0.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-tagger-wa-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wang — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T13:51:17.613Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-tagger-wa-2026-05-24.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*