# Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 08:22:39 GMT. 24h change +12.4pp, 24h volume $209.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/wta-tararud-lansere-2026-05-04
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/wta-tararud-lansere-2026-05-04
**Category:** Other
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T08:22:39.292Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +12.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $209.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $209.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $280.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the tennis match between Lanlana Tararudee and Sofya Lansere in the Jiujiang, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Lanlana Tararudee' if Lanlana Tararudee advances against Sofya Lansere.
> 
> This market will resolve to 'Sofya Lansere' if Sofya Lansere advances against Lanlana Tararudee.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
> 
> If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 25%): UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf2ce…5462` — 16,456.04 shares
- `0xa362…a3e3` — 14,377.399 shares
- `0xdbdd…a5de` — 3,601.555 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 2,299.752 shares
- `0x21b5…1db6` — 2,177.705 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xce9f…26e8` — 6,999.994 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 6,068.965 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 4,158.65 shares
- `0xca20…7b68` — 3,661.63 shares
- `0xd3df…82fa` — 3,465.335 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 45 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T11:00:21.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T06:59:04.000Z |
| Range | 64¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +9.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=wta-tararud-lansere-2026-05-04` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T08:22:39.292Z from https://orrery.me/markets/wta-tararud-lansere-2026-05-04.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*